• renard_roux@beehaw.org
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    2 years ago

    There is a non-zero chance of virtually everything. I don’t think anyone is suggesting that the amount of accusations against him is proof, and I’m sure he will not be indicted without proof.

    You must see that "in many cases of false accusation, there were two or more women against a man, [and they were lying]¹“ is also not proof of anything.

    What is your metric for “cases of false accusations”? Are we talking rape cases only? There is already a heavy bias towards women in that category, as more women are raped than men². Just because cases exist where women have made false accusations does not mean that every single accusation should not be taken seriously. If the accusation can’t be proved, or is proved to be false, then that’s the way it is, and the appropriate consequences, or lack of them, follow.

    There are likely to be more cases of false accusations by women against men than vice versa, both because social norms and machismo make it less likely than a man will falsely accuse a woman of rape, and because raped women outweigh raped men at a ratio of around 6:1 (in the US, at least). What constitutes a “false accusation”? Exclusively that it was proven that the accusations were false? Or does that group also contain cases where rape couldn’t be proved?

    You prefaced your statement with “I would not like many of the women he frequents³”. Is your personal opinion of “the women her frequents” an indicator of whether or not he was capable of raping or trafficking them? Is it in any way relevant at all?

    ¹ - If the accusations were false, they were implicitly lying. ² - https://www.rainn.org/statistics/victims-sexual-violence ³ - “Frequents”. Yuck.

    • mzan@programming.dev
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      2 years ago

      You must see that "in many cases of false accusation, there were two or more women against a man, [and they were lying]¹“ is also not proof of anything.

      Yes I agree, but my original meaning is that there are many cases of false accusations with two or more false accusers. So saying that “many women reported …” is not per se a good enough convincing argument, without analyzing in details these reports and the context. I said this, because intuitively one believe that if there are two or more accusers, then something must be true. Obviously as you said, the contrary is not true: one accuser is not more believable than two or more.

      What is your metric for “cases of false accusations”? Are we talking rape cases only?

      Sexual abuse in case of famous/important person, where money is involved, and domestic violence in case of conflicting divorces. In Italy, an official document signed by judges, psychologist and other legal operators, informs the Senate that the false accuse (strictly false or exagerated, not simply “unprovable”) are presumably from 70% to 90% in case of conflicting divorces. This is the link to the document https://www.senato.it/documenti/repository/commissioni/comm02/documenti_acquisiti/957 FENBI - A.pdf

      You prefaced your statement with “I would not like many of the women he frequents³”. Is your personal opinion of “the women her frequents” an indicator of whether or not he was capable of raping or trafficking them? Is it in any way relevant at all?

      I don’t know the women he frequents, but it can be a suspicious context, because there are many rapist, but sometime there are also false accuses. So a proper trial must be done. I didn’t know the details, so after reading more, probably he is guilty. I wrote in general terms, because sometime there were cases against famous people like Johnny Depp or Woody Allen were the accusations were not true.