Source toot: https://mas.to/@advisorybriefs/110872259818869083
Data source: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/
Lets go for more!!! (China says)
43 ºC in my town today. Now we are at 32 ºC and is 23:00.
This is hell.
… also the coolest 36 days of summer of the rest of our life
Actually, some of us didnt
Yeap, every day people die
Again, you’re not being very helpful. Take your weird existential nihilism somewhere else, please
On sorry, I thought no people die when “the pmanet was not hot” lol
What the Fossil Fuel Industry Doesn’t Want You To Know | Al Gore | TED https://piped.video/watch?v=xgZC6da4mco
Oil barrons merely see global warming as yet another catastrophe to take advantage of for power and profit, they will have their companies pump oil til there’s not a single drop left to pump anywhere, using every excuse they can find to keep pumping and polluting while evading taxes and regulation as much as possible. They are evil scum and belong in jail for their lies and behavior.
Drug dealers are arguably pretty evil…but there is undeniably huge demand for the products. And getting rid of a dealer won’t solve addiction itself.
Phoenix just broke its record for consecutive days over 110° at 31, previous record was half that…
Cincinnati only had two days over 90 total all summer so far. I think we may get another day this week. Phoenix is getting all of our heat.
So that’s why all the conservatives are laughing and cheering. I was wondering why they were celebrating. They are accomplishing their mission of killing us all.
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Owning the libs will become the most common cause of death of conservatives.
“Them libs want to protest the climate issue? Well fuck em, let’s burn more oil and make more profit for those companies! That’ll show them snowflake protestors!”
This is literally the mindset we’re up against. They’ve been brainwashed so hard into “owning libs”, and have their tongues so far up billionaire’s arseholes, they have lost any sense of empathy, sympathy, and basic intelligence. We’re all fucked.
Part of the problem with being socially minded is that your representatives tend to be less inclined to abuse their power to disingenuously manipulate useful idiots. We’d rather educate them than manipulate them, but they’re too stupid to know the difference.
Also of everyone else.
“Survived”
Jesus Christ
Hottest so far.
It is totally terrifying but also very strange to read about the record heat everywhere while we here in Germany had probably the coldest July in a decade. We had 16C where we should have had 30C. And we had rain, a lot of rain.
Still, I’m terrified.
Yeah July was basically November
I saw hail in fucking July in the Netherlands…
Also lots of rain of course.
Shit’s getting crazier and crazier.Yeah where I’m at in southwest Ohio in the US it has been one of the coolest, wettest summers also. So in order for the average to be the highest ever, other places had to be extra, extra hot.
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Jup, my “Summer Vacation” is now over. Very pissed off about the weather
The world average temperature is up. Locally this puts more energy in weather
Taller storms, bigger hail, more cyclones/typhoons/hurricanes earlier and later in the season
Apparently the average is up in Germany, you just haven’t had any extremes this year.
https://twitter.com/rarohde/status/1688486834890854401?s=46&t=041FqqqpppFjW7CoNV9wDw
Meanwhile in germany: 13°C and endless rain.
Extremes getting more extreme.
36 days… July 3rd to August 6… is
3435 days.I find it very hard to believe anything that makes such a simple mistake doesn’t have other mistakes.
It would actually be 35 days, since it is inclusive of July 3rd. Maybe simple mistakes are equally simple to overlook, sometimes. :P
Hm, I’m counting 35 days
You’re correct, still not 36 though.
Still not 34 either. Where’d you learn to count?
Hottest 36 days ever recorded…so far.
The hottest 36 days on record. Also the coolest summer we can expect to see for the rest of our lives.
Laughs and sobs simultaneously
Oh, if I were an alien looking down at us little billions of ants destroying their own habitat to construct tributes to a few thousand fat ants, to the point all the ants were about to die off, I’d be tilting my head and laughing my alien ass off.
I’d be really sad, because I have empathy. Of course, maybe you’d be a psychopathic alien who laughs at injustice and pain.
Nobody panic!
The only people that matter, who also happen to be the ones that caused and continue to exacerbate the climate apocalypse knowingly for private profit, have built luxury bunker complexes in temperate places like New Zealand to shield themselves from the consequences of their own actions.
No one important is in danger, just us billions of disposable capital batteries, no biggie.
Now get back to work! The owners/Pharoahs/oligarchs/beloved job creators have quarterly ego score expectations to exploit out of you before you die of heat stroke as a result of your bad decisions, like being poor!
The more you attempt to shift to revolution, the more you counteract real meaningful change. There are market solutions to this problem and it’s called government regulation.
https://i.pinimg.com/474x/40/bf/b6/40bfb6a76627032773450ddee967be36.jpg
Successful revolution and war will not help global warming. Failure will result in a massive social shift against these ends.
This is literally idealism.
You have an idea about a market solution to the problem, and then act like you’ve solved the problem.
The problem isn’t a lack of ideas! The problem is a lack of implementation! You have to get these ideas into the real world somehow, and revolution is the only way you can do that. There are billionaires aligned against implementing these ideas. You have to stop them.
Revolution is also more than eating the rich. Its also setting a framework for the future through non-violent action. Organizing and interacting both with local communities and national and international concerns.
So we all burn while you try to change the system instead of focusing on the problem at hand. Great and thanks.
Did I say that was the only thing?
Because if you ignore this now to burn down the rich, you’ll be burning later anyways.
Which country is the model to emulate? Which country has had the successful revolution?
Many countries have successfully overthrown previous governments and implemented new ones. It depends what you mean by ‘successful’.
It depends what you mean by ‘successful’.
I’m asking which ones did it by their definition of successful. Which country should we emulate?
And as for me, I’m not sure there’s anything we can do about this, even with a revolution - at least with such a small number of us that actually care. If the majority actually wanted to change from the status quo, maybe then a revolution could work.
There will be people who thought it was successful, and people who thought it was unsuccessful, in every revolution. You’d need to clarify who ‘they’ are.
Well, I mean, historically, the USA had a very successful revolution in that they have become the greatest world power nowadays…
Even if they are a capitalist crazed two party nation, where a majority struggle to survive and they have to pay for the basic human right of healthcare, all in the name of some “free market” to help the rich get richer at their own expense.
So, you are saying we should emulate the United States? Are you following this conversation?
That’s not what I said. I gave an example of a “successful” revolution.
It’s not idealism. If you have a better solution that is not radical by design, go ahead. I was literally not specific intentionally. Go ahead, what instrument within the current system would work that are not regulations?
Regulations don’t work when they don’t get implemented, which means your ideas are purely ideas and not materialistic solutions. There aren’t going to be any regulations, don’t you get it? That ship has so obviously sailed.
There isn’t a better solution that’s not radical and that’s why radical solutions all that’s left!
Its over man, I just look at those sad little true believers as pathetic comic relief.
They’d be the ones in the town squares pre-revolution scolding passers by for not blindly following the wisdom of their oppressive monarchs.
“Stay the course! So I can feel like I’m safe and that everything is working as it’s supposed to!”
I hate to break this to you, but these have to go hand in hand.
Government, and the individuals who make up the government, are balancing a lot of competing demands.
Until one of those demands may include the loss of use of their property, at the very least, then they will always be more incentived to overvalue the perspective of the rich. And the rich will literally say, yeah, it’s bad, but we can slap a bandaid on it - 20% or the cost for 40% of the solution, that should get us by!
Some other overwhelming force will eventually be necessary to change the calculus of what an “acceptable solution” looks like. Because with your market regulation, you will always have people willing to pay the fine instead of following the rules, and if they are allowed to continue externalizing those costs to the rest of us, we will continue to have less room to request less benefit, and we will have to take what they decide to give us. Which I can almost guarantee will be pennies compared to what it costs us in the meantime.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regulatory_capture
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plutocracy
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._FEC
https://www.businessinsider.com/photos-inside-luxury-bunkers-ultra-rich-prepare-for-doomsday-2022-9
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/29/us/politics/democrats-dark-money-donors.html
Those are some great definitions but that doesn’t change the fact that literally anyone can find someone that disagrees with these positions. Forcing them on people will not get the reaction you want. That right there throws out any thought of regulatory capture being the sole thing at play. It can hardly be considered a plutocracy when a good portion of the populous agrees with it.
Even if that is the complete reality, very few people agree with you and antidemocratic actions will result in a massive backlash.
People agree with Hitler, doesn’t make them right, or worth listening to, nor does it make them willing to compromise, some people need to be forced to relinquish their incorrect and harmful opinions through violence and death.
You’re relying on the wilfully ignorant and belligerent to go against their nature, and that’s a level of stupidity so divorced from reality that you’re effectively no different than them.
You’ll sit here and argue that you’re right till you’re blue in the face but you’ll still never change anything.
In 1988 my uncle was working as a chemist for the oil industry in Oman. When he was home he’d tell us about global warming from carbon dioxide from burning oil
In the industry they knew. In politics they knew. But it made a lot of money and they’d be dead before New York would be flooded
I wish aging had been solved back then, so those people would know they’d live to see the impending disaster
RIP Great Barrier Reef this coming southern summer
Funny you say that…
Relevant vlogbrothers video about why this particular summer is hotter.
Now that we have an idea of how much ocean cloud cover can produce a certain amount of global cooling we can find other, better ways of doing it in a controlled manner.
Nukes could help
If we put them on high population centres it will have long term effects too.
Hunga Tunga Hunga Ha’apai didn’t help either. Instead of just the usual global cooling sulfur dioxide, this particular volcano was under water enough that it launched massive amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere, which has greenhouse effects. Add that all together on top of the chronic climate change and you get this summer.
https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/2022-tonga-volcano-may-have-caused-temporary-global-warming?amp
…since 1979
Edit: not saying there’s not a climate change disaster happening, but some of these analyses are a little misleading.
I can’t find any indication that 1979 had a 36-day heatwave with anything approaching the temperatures we’re seeing.
I think the significance of 1979 is that’s when we started keeping track of an overall global temperature day by day…
Not terribly significant. The length, number of heat records broken, and sheer catastrophic scale of this heatwave is unprecedented. We don’t have any reason to think anything remotely like this has happened in human history, and the fact that we didn’t have the means to track the entire planet’s average temperature prior to 1979 doesn’t negate that.
Hawaii is on fire. Oregon is on fire. Canada is on fire. California is on fire. The winter in the southern hemisphere is unprecedentedly warm, and much of Australia burned over their summer. It’s going to burn again.
This is an emergency.
not saying there’s not a climate change disaster happening, but some of these analyses are a little misleading.
Except that to only say “…since 1979” is to comment in either ignorance or bad faith (your pick). We maintained record breaking temps ALL above the prior record for 36 is the damn point, and to miss that is to miss the entire thing.
There have been 44 years since 1979. Lets say the probability of getting 1 day above the 1979 record in a given year is 1/44 (uniform). The probability of even getting a week of the hottest days in one year would be (1/44)^7, would be a one in 300 billion chance. There are some issues and some assumptions I’m making for convenience, but its not ok to make idle comments with no comprehension of the scale of extremity this event represents.
As in, do you have any fucking idea how unlikely that is? This isn’t an ‘oopsie poopsie’ funny record event.
Not to be too pedantic but your back of the envelope probabilities are based on inaccurate assumptions and probably several orders of magnitude off. Specifically, your not just assuming uniform but also independent from one day to the next. A more accurate treatment would be to assume conditional dependence from one day to the next (the Markov property). Once you have a record hot day, you are significantly more likely to have another record hot day following it.
That said, it’s still low probability, just not as low as what you’re saying.
Any thoughts on how I could incorporate that for a better back of the napkin?
(Also, that number is only consider that the number presented was based on 7 independent events, not 34)
If we stick with your 1/44 assumption, we can then assume 50% chance that the following day will also be a record setting day (probably too low still but the math is easier). Your one week estimate would be (1/44)*(1/2)^6.
While the data presented here only goes back to 1979, I seem to recall that some scientists worked out global average temperatures based on coral reef core samples and ice core samples. I think there were some other samples too but I can’t remember what they were. So they are the hottest ever
For the hell of it, I checked the list of hottest temperatures recorded and the top for the US was in 1913, Sweeden 1933, Russia 2010, and Germany/France 2019 (for just a small selection of countries). Very few were from this year and many weren’t even in the last half century.
https://en.wikipedia.org//wiki/List_of_weather_records#Highest_temperatures_ever_recorded
You’re downvoted because you’re comparing one day record temp to a full month of record highs.
Also, a large part of the reason the global average temperature is high is because the Southern hemisphere is having a very warm winter.
Comparing global average to local max temperatures is also wrong.
Much of eastern North America is having a relatively cool summer thanks to the smoke from the Canadian wildfires. Temps in my area have barely broken 85F/30C all summer
Oh good, maybe the smoke from everything being on fire will cool us down!
/s
