• marx2k@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    This absolutely feels like republicans setting themselves up for the “red wave” in 2020 that never materialized.

    • Soliyou @midwest.social
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      1 year ago

      Yeah I don’t think there will be a significant drop in reddit users however I think they’ll be a noticeable drop in quality posts and comments. I think with many older gen redditors and experienced mods jumping ship there’s going to be somewhat of a void left in the wake.

      • Jamie@jamie.moe
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        1 year ago

        Content already has been dropping in quality slowly. A few days ago people were talking about subs up voting Facebook level memes to the frontpage.

        • azimir@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          That was very much how the death of Digg felt. As the real users left, they’re upvoting and downvoting pressure that kept total trash off the front page waned. Soon it was nothing but total garbage posts and advertisers who were gaming the system. The content quality completely crashed and it just pushed more real users away.

          It’ll be interesting to watch how well Reddit weathers this and what comes out the other side. Digg still exists, but it’s a shadow of a shadow of its former self.

      • Chainweasel@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        There will probably be another wave. Simply for the fact that moderation bots are going to stop functioning tomorrow and Spam is just going to go through the roof. It all depends on how fast Reddit can get a handle on that situation.

        • azimir@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          Oh yeah, I’d forgotten about the moderation tools losing API access. The big subreddits don’t have the staff to manually fight all of that, especially with at least some of the senior/dedicated mods losing at least some interest in keeping things afloat. Pro bono work was already rough enough with tools to help. Remove those tools and it’s going to put a lot of people off moderating in a serious manner.

          • Nythos@lemmy.ml
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            1 year ago

            Unpaid staff at that

            At what point do they just decide fuck it and stop trying to fight against all the spam and irrelevant posts because they simply just don’t have the means to anymore

      • lemmyseizethemeans@lemmygrad.ml
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        1 year ago

        I just got notification from bacon reader that I can’t use it anymore after almost 10 years. It was how I used reddit. I reckon a lot of folks will be getting that same announcement tomorrow, loads of iphone users especially. So I just deleted my account today. Reckon other people will do the same

      • Undearius@lemmy.ca
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        1 year ago

        While I want to agree with this, there have been a number of people saying they will stop using Reddit when the changes come into force on July 1.

        • animist@lemmy.one
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          1 year ago

          Yeah people say stuff like that all the time. If they were really going to leave they’d have done it already

          • xavier666@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            I heard that less than 10% of redditors use 3rd party apps. After tomorrow, I doubt that the whole 10% moves here. Maybe 5% if we are lucky (on unlucky if you are an instance owner).

            What really matters is how well the mods can manage the site without their 3rd party tools. Without them, moderation will suffer.

            • possum@lemmy.ml
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              1 year ago

              5% of Reddit is colossal compared to Lemmy’s current numbers. I think even 0.1% would be very noticeable.

              • Jamie@jamie.moe
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                1 year ago

                I might be in the minority, but I actually like Lemmy where it is now. Sorting by new, there’s usually more new stuff than I can read anyway as-is.

            • Yook@lemm.ee
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              1 year ago

              The content on r/all was already dropping in quality during june. I was noticing I was getting into weird niche subreddit way earlier than usual, so hopefully that means all the post makers are starting to jump ship

          • imitihe@lemmygrad.ml
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            1 year ago

            Eh, I created an account on lemmy and installed the mobile app a while ago, did a bit of perusing and commenting, but I was still using reddit as my primary mobile browsing utility until today. My sync app stopped working a few hours ago, so I’m here now.

            I think there’s at least a fair amount of people doing the same thing I’m doing.

    • Reliant1087@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      My take is slightly different. Apart from content you would find of Twitter/Instagram/Facebook/Tiktok, what makes reddit powerful is human experts, especially in STEM and tech. I see many of these people leaving and reddit becoming a meme + yt comments platform.

    • Hydroel@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Most 3rd party Reddit apps will be gone, and Reddit have shown willingness to move to a far more closed model than it used to be. Mods were and are not the only ones to leave.

        • eleitl@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          Do you remember Orkut? Digg? Slashdot?

          Revisit Reddit one, two, three years from now. I think you might be surprised.

      • animist@lemmy.one
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        1 year ago

        Yeah people like you and me care about that, but let’s face it, if the average user cared about how shitty social media sites treat them then FB and Twitter would be deserts

        • Hydroel@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Twitter has also seen a mass exodus in the last few months in favor of a more open platform. And there’s a real difference about Facebook in that on Facebook, you connect with people you know, so it’s important to be on the same platform as them. It’s harder for someone to leave the platform unless most of their friends move as well. Unsurprisingly, Messenger and Instagram are also really efficient in that regard.

          This is not so true on Reddit, where people interacting usually don’t know one another. What matters is the community, and communities can be smaller.

          Well, that’s how I use those platforms anyway, so obviously take this with a grain of salt.

        • Hillmarsh@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          FB is a desert compared with the old days, and Twitter will get there as well. Maybe the “AI revolution” can replace all the organic human content with fake people, but that’s about their only chance long term. If you can even call such a thing a “win”.

          • animist@lemmy.one
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            1 year ago

            I hope that is the case with FB but according to my American friends it’s still the social media site of choice for racist uncles everywhere

  • Gamers Mate@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think we really know at this point what will happen or how fast reddit will fall. What we do know is third party app users will no longer be able to use the site. And that it will be harder for users with disabilities to effectively use reddit.

    • RupeThereItIs@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I think the mass influx from Reddit has already occurred. What we can hope for is a continual slow migration from here on out. I don’t think July 1 is gonna see any huge uptick in Lemmy accounts. Anyone who cares has been well aware for some time.

  • Fez@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Apollo has been deleted, Reddit app remains deleted. Memmy has taken Apollo’s spot. Feels good.

  • Koffiato@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I’ve seen people that use third party apps and had no idea about them going away. Let’s see if it effects Reddit in any meaningful way.

      • eleitl@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        The early adopters matter far more than the raw numbers suggest. There is no long tail for content creation and curation. Ongoing exsanguination will intensify. Prognosis is poor for this patient.

  • Veedems@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I’m off Reddit fully but I don’t think it’ll be an implosion. With a few other apps striking deals, some will switch to those while others will stick with the main. I think mostly OGs and people more comfortable with tech are the ones who made the switch.

    • StingJay@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I agree. Lemmy takes a bit to get used to. I think if content starts to get worse on Reddit, more people will get bored and switch. Hopefully by then those early kinks in lemmy will have been cleared out.

      • _TheLoneDeveloper_@sopuli.xyz
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        1 year ago

        We first need to generate some content so new users will find information and enjoyment on Lemmy, otherwise there is no use for the platform, information got me on reddit in the first place, now information will keep me on Lemmy, I will try to generate some too.

  • spiderkle@lemmy.ca
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    1 year ago

    Right now there is a race to illegally restore the valuable deleted content. Even google is notably worse without reddit content. Redditors and even mods started nuking their accounts yesterday. Came over with the Star Trek community from reddit too.

  • acid@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    Good for us. I wish this happens to snapchat, facebook, Instagram, whatsapp and even google (little hard for google) Btw I’m already on pixelfed instead of Instagram.

    • rbhfd@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m on pixelfed, but without any of my friends on there, there’s not much to it. But the appeal of Reddit is not that your friends are there, so the move to Lemmy or kbin is easier.

      • acid@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        I quit Instagram so if any of my friends wanna see my pics, I’m on pixelfed. None of my friends are on pixelfed. Also, all they use is YouTube and Instagram, they don’t know what reddit is, never knew myspace, tumblr.

    • lemmyseizethemeans@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 year ago

      I ditched google a while ago for duck duck go. It works fine. I really want a federated YouTube replacement that’s gonna be rad. Imagine if you will no advertising

      • acid@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        I always wonder, who’s gonna pay for server space? I don’t think donations can keep it up. Also with the advertisement and data selling system people are not used to donations.

      • Monkey With A Shell@lemmy.socdojo.com
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        1 year ago

        PeerTube is a thing already, can’t say I’ve tried it myself to know the performance though. Video hosting amd streaming is asking a lot more of end users with small upload links compared to short text and link snippits though.

  • oehm@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Went on the apple sub yesterday and majority of people on there didn’t give a shit about the API changes and were calling the Apollo developer a whiny multi millionaire or something. Feels like the general tone has shifted a lot.

    • Hydroel@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I also wonder if the Reddit admins might have started some kind of marketing campaign to build the consensus in their favor of their own platform. There have been several instances of third parties using social media to do that kind of things, the hivemind makes it easy enough that the word of mouth is going to spread when it’s high enough on the main subs.

      That might be granting them more PR credit than they’ve shown in the last few weeks, though.

    • StarManta@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      That feels like self-selection bias to me. The most vocal people with opinions leaning the other direction, have already left the platform.

  • alabastercello@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I am 99% lurker and I joined a few weeks ago. I’ve been patiently waiting to see what happens with the amount and type of content after an assumed bump in activity when 3rd party apps go dark.

    I was an Alien Blue user for years before Reddit purchased it, then I was using Sync (and will be again soon with Sync for Lemmy). Reddit is essentially dead to me without 3rd party apps.

    • adinfinitum@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I was also lurking without an account as I was waiting to see if reddit would get cold feet about pulling the plug (not that I had any real hope).

      For me it’s the principle of the thing. I don’t want to support a business that conducts itself that way.

    • Swarfega@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      Same here. I’ve jumped between various apps but ended the last year on Sync after their major UI overhaul. I don’t plan on going back to Reddit due to the API issues. Looking forward to Sync for Lemmy!