Hundreds of thousands of people took the streets across Germany this weekend as the nation enters a second week of protests against the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party.
Around 100,000 gathered outside the Bundestag in Berlin alone, said the police, with up to 200,000 counted by the organizers in Bavaria’s Munich. Significant turnout was also reported in the cities that represent traditional the AfD voting strongholds in eastern Germany, like Leipzig and Dresden.
2nd??? SPD/FPD/Grün Ampel I guess are 1? CSU/CDU is less popular now than the AfD? That’s wild.
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Reuters 2023-12-19
Reuters 2024-01-23
It seems like it has only gone down 1.5% since the protests. 20% support is quite worrying.
It would be weird if the protests had a big effect on the predicted votes. Who would be all for the AfD and then suddenly go “yeah well, I changed my mind now”?
The protests should mainly convince the government to finally start the process to ban the AfD.
It looks like the numbers of polls from INSA in 2024 were 7 and the percentage number for AfD varied from 18 to 23.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_German_federal_election#2024
[edit: So in that sense one could rightfully argue that we saw a raise for AfD in 2024, despite the drop in the last few days.]
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They are only 2nd if you count individual parties, not coalitions. So “2nd strongest power” is misleading