What’s being called “worst” changes from one platform to another, and also the metric for thriving/success/failure/dying. So, more objectively, here’s what I believe that will happen:
[Almost sure] Reddit will die in the next 1~2 years. The death will be caused by noise, brain drain, lack of moderation, and higher-up abuse. Reddit is by no means as resilient as Twitter.
[Somewhat certain] The “Fediverse forums” will enjoy some moderate success. They won’t become as big as Reddit, but they’ll get way bigger than they are now.
[Somewhat certain] Lemmy and Mbin will become part of a plurality. Other forum platforms for the Fediverse will appear, and compete with both internally.
[Uncertain, but worth mentioning] Lemmy will become rather small in said plurality, as one of those in-Fediverse alternatives will have killer features that Lemmy won’t develop due to lack of interest, in a vicious cycle.
What’s being called “worst” changes from one platform to another, and also the metric for thriving/success/failure/dying. So, more objectively, here’s what I believe that will happen:
Interesting perspective, as always