The number one requirement for a civil war would require either the military or the populace to rise up against the government. We sorta had the first thing happen and it definitely revealed some major cracks in the Russian dictatorship but the Russian people are still largely compliant. I’m not saying it’s completely far fetched, but “on the edge” really does seem a bit exaggerated. On the other hand, it’s definitely the closest it’s been since Putin came to power. Maybe it’s all relative.
a lot will rely on wether or not the army will continue to support the war as ukraine slowly regains their territory, they gain more and more western tools and russian vehicle attrition continues
The number one requirement for a civil war would require either the military or the populace to rise up against the government. We sorta had the first thing happen and it definitely revealed some major cracks in the Russian dictatorship but the Russian people are still largely compliant. I’m not saying it’s completely far fetched, but “on the edge” really does seem a bit exaggerated. On the other hand, it’s definitely the closest it’s been since Putin came to power. Maybe it’s all relative.
a lot will rely on wether or not the army will continue to support the war as ukraine slowly regains their territory, they gain more and more western tools and russian vehicle attrition continues