One minor complication: People learn and develop their knowledge of what they want from experience. Where the performance of a given bomber model over german flak batteries should remain fairly consistent over time, a person’s tastes should not. Since they’re likely to change over time, one cannot simply use old data to extrapolate for future results. The system just has more variables than that.
Additionally, even if you were able to use old data to extrapolate for future results, this would simply tell you you’re likely to get the same result as those other guys that were dated: a failed relationship.
All that said, kudos for the succinct summary of survivorship bias, even if it doesn’t fully apply in this case.
Depends on your criteria for failure. If you’re looking for marriage and kids, not a great strategy. If you’re just looking to have fun, statistically it’s very reasonable. These guys got dates with these women. Consistently enough to form a trope.
One minor complication: People learn and develop their knowledge of what they want from experience. Where the performance of a given bomber model over german flak batteries should remain fairly consistent over time, a person’s tastes should not. Since they’re likely to change over time, one cannot simply use old data to extrapolate for future results. The system just has more variables than that.
Additionally, even if you were able to use old data to extrapolate for future results, this would simply tell you you’re likely to get the same result as those other guys that were dated: a failed relationship.
All that said, kudos for the succinct summary of survivorship bias, even if it doesn’t fully apply in this case.
Depends on your criteria for failure. If you’re looking for marriage and kids, not a great strategy. If you’re just looking to have fun, statistically it’s very reasonable. These guys got dates with these women. Consistently enough to form a trope.