Russia will make changes to its doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons in response to what it regards as Western escalation in the war in Ukraine, state media quoted Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying on Sunday.

The existing nuclear doctrine, set out in a decree by President Vladimir Putin in 2020, says Russia may use nuclear weapons in the event of a nuclear attack by an enemy or a conventional attack that threatens the existence of the state.

Some hawks among Russia’s military analysts have urged Putin to lower the threshold for nuclear use in order to “sober up” Russia’s enemies in the West.

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  • mommykink@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    And we can assume that these nukes, unlike the conventional armory, have been maintained since the Cold War and not sold off to private interests?

    • orclev@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      I seem to recall a big kerfuffle around a decade and a half back about Russia not actually knowing what became of a whole bunch of nuclear weapons in the aftermath of the USSR collapsing. There were also rumors of Soviet nukes being sold off to various unsavory groups. It really wouldn’t surprise me to find out there was some truth to that.

      I have also heard that ICBMs and the like require regular expensive and specialized maintenance in order to remain functional. Knowing what we now know about Russia what do you figure the odds are that some general or other decided those maintenance funds would be better used to line their pockets since the odds of actually using those nukes were so low?

      • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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        4 months ago

        Almost all nuclear weapons require quite a bit of expertise to maintain over time. If they got sold off 30 years ago, chances are 99% that they’re mostly good for lighting off as a dirty bomb and not much else at this point.

      • rhys@lemmy.rhys.wtf
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        4 months ago

        I have no doubt large parts of their nuclear arsenal have been stripped to fund their maintainers’ Krokodil habits but it only takes one to start a nuclear war, and a smaller and simpler tactical warhead on a Khinzal or Kh-15 of the sort we’d likely see used against Ukraine is less likely to have been scavenged.

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Oh no he’s gonna write something on a piece of paper!!

    Still too much of a little bitch to ever use nukes tho.

  • Media Bias Fact Checker@lemmy.worldB
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    4 months ago
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  • Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    The SECOND Russia uses nukes, it’s OVER. Russia’s entire existence ceases to exist, as EVERY country will nuke Russia. It won’t be WWIII.

    WWIII would imply two set of countries of roughly equal might, and each side has several countries fighting together.

    This would be more like EVERYBODY vs Russia. And they wouldn’t last more than a few days.

    • Sundial@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      The problem is Russia has the very real capability of really screwing up a good chunk of the world before they get wiped off the map. It’s kind of scary if im being honest.

      • cynar@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        Nukes and ICBMs are extremely complex devices. They also require extremely specialist servi e work to remain functional. Even worse, the only people who can actually check that work are the ones doing it.

        Russia hasn’t detonated a nuke in decades. I wouldn’t be surprised if most of their arsenal are now duds. The money embezzled, while boxes were ticked. Similarly, I wouldn’t be surprised if many of their ICBMs just wouldn’t launch.

        Russia’s nuclear capabilities are likely a paper tiger, and Putin likely knows this. Until they try and use them, they are scary. If they try and they fail, they are in a VERY bad situation.

        Putin is many things, but he’s not stupid. It would take a LOT more pressure from nato for him to even consider using nukes.

        • jubilationtcornpone@sh.itjust.works
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          4 months ago

          It’s kind of funny to me that a significant reason Russia is in its current predicament is because of rampant corruption. Putin runs the country like a Mafia state and then gets all surprised Pikachu Face when it becomes apparent that his underlings just stole all the money instead of using it to maintain their weapons stockpile, which is now aging and dilapidated.

      • andyburke@fedia.io
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        4 months ago

        I would have believed you a few years ago.

        At this point I think Putin has to have serious doubts that he could use a nuke and have it actually work. He’s up against both western tech and his own corruption.

        • Cosmonauticus@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          Yeah the problem is he only needs one to work. Even if it’s a dud Russia being nuked into oblivion will have long term ramifications for the entire globe

          • AngryCommieKender@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            We don’t have to Nuke Moscow, to effectively nuke Moscow. We invented the MOAB just to be able to do that. They have to rely on the dirty version.

          • Breezy@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            Yeah but it might humble the rest of the world a bit. No one will want to be next.

      • odelik@lemmy.today
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        4 months ago

        Do they really?

        They made a lot of claims about their military capabilities. However their war with Ukraine has shown those to largely be lies propped up to hide that their oligarchs have emezzled the money.

        I’m starting to wonder how nuclear capable they actually are these days.

        • yeather@lemmy.ca
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          4 months ago

          Of all the things Russia has spent money on, I have no doubts they have kept most of their nuclear arsenal in working condition. Even if they spent $0 on their military they would find a way to keep the nukes in working order.

    • BaroqueInMind@lemmy.one
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      4 months ago

      Unless the nuclear fallout is proven to effect a NATO ally and trigger Article 5, no one would give a shit if Russia nuked itself on its own territory. And no one other than the US can afford to unleash all of their their nuclear arsenal, costing billions of dollars and their only defense deterrence, in one go to light the powder keg and be left without nukes to defend themselves.

      However, you are correct, Russia would cease to exist if they retaliated disproportionately and a single molecule of NATO territory was effected as a result.

        • theyoyomaster@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          OK, I genuinely have no clue what got that post removed. If you’re gonna have your own magic dictionary of what’s allowed then you’re gonna need to let people know what are and are not the special “no-no” words. It wasn’t even an edgy comment, it was just calling out the Russian bullshit, or was that the issue? Gotta protect the Russian shills or something?

    • riodoro1@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Nato will write a sternly worded letter. Biden will SLAM putin for it. The EU will try to pass chat control.

      • chingadera@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        I don’t think that everyone is ready to cry right after reading this comment. Pls delete

      • rusticus@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        Ironically Biden was the one who knew Russia would attack Ukraine and spent MONTHS preparing Ukraine for it, which is why it wasn’t over in 3 days. We have also prepped for nuclear escalation. This is what real leaders do. Trump would just continue to give Putin a blow job.

        • orclev@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          China would just wait until it’s over and then pick through the remains of Russia. Probably try to claim a big chunk of southern Russia using some excuse or another.

          • rusticus@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            China would be dealing with nuclear radiation fallout across much of its country.

            • Nutteman@lemmy.world
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              4 months ago

              Unless they are dropping ground detonations there wouldn’t me much. Most nuclear detonation would be airbursts because it’s more destructive than a ground blast. Ground blasts cause major fallout.

          • Notyou@sopuli.xyz
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            4 months ago

            Well it’s not southern Russia’s northern China’s fault that some mad man in Moscow used a nuke. China will just be generous and help lead the clean up in wonderful north north China.

          • empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            4 months ago

            Ehh. They’d make a beeline for every natural resource bearing region inside Russia’s borders. The whole south-western Russian region will turn into a clusterfuck free for all that I doubt they’d want to get involved with, but any mining and oil/gas centers east of the Urals will be priority one.

            Empty land is not terribly useful for China right now, although large portions of siberia will likely become arable in the next 50 years. but the dragon is always hungry.

      • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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        4 months ago

        If Russia uses their nukes, about 30 minuites later there won’t be a Russia left to sever ties with.

    • lepinkainen@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      We don’t need to nuke them even, we can just use conventional munitions to fuck up every military installation they have to rubble.

      And chuck a few Tomahawks at Kremlin to be sure

    • HomerianSymphony@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      This would be more like EVERYBODY vs Russia.

      I do not share your confidence about that.

      Countries with nuclear weapons include China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and possibly Iran. And while I don’t think any of them want a nuclear war, if a nuclear war breaks out, I can imagine three or four of them siding with Russia.

      China might side with Russia simply because they’re sick of the US trying to hem them in militarily through the “island chain” strategy. The US has the entire coast of China surrounded by military bases, which could be used to cut off China’s trade routes, which is an existential threat to China because their economy is so dependent on exports.

      North Korea has a historical beef with the US, and Russia helped North Korea survive through a period when the US tried to starve them.

      India and Pakistan have a long-running dispute over Kashmir, and if India backs the US, it’s possibly Pakistan will back Russia just to oppose India.

      And Russia and Iran have been solid military and economic allies for a while now, working together in recent conflicts in Syria and Iraq.

      • chingadera@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        If their intelligence agencies are worth anything, they would understand that any action unless directly against Russia would be suicide not only for them but also us. Nukes are a losing strategy no matter what.

      • InvertedParallax@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        The US has the entire coast of China surrounded by military bases, which could be used to cut of China’s trade routes, which is an existential threat to China because their economy is so dependent on exports.

        What is it with you people?!?!

        “it’s not fair that the US DARES to talk to other countries anywhere near us!?!?”

        This is the exact same excuse putin used for invading Ukraine, because no country is allowed to make their own decisions on who they talk to unless Russia and China get a veto.

        We have power they cannot begin to comprehend, they need to learn a lesson from Putin, “Don’t start nothin, won’t be nothin”, because if there’s one thing the US is famous for, it’s ending wars definitively.

        • HomerianSymphony@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          “it’s not fair that the US DARES to talk to other countries anywhere near us!?!?”

          I don’t believe that’s what I said.

  • partial_accumen@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Putin, you can’t invade another country killing thousands of their civilians and then get upset when that country comes into yours and starts taking your territory. Using a nuke here doesn’t make you look strong, it makes you look extremely weak.

  • Donjuanme@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Fuck it, if that’s how we go that’s how we go.

    I think there are enough people with more brains than putler over there.

    I hope this does scare his Chinese and dkpr allies a bit though.

    This one barking Russian bitch is the reason so many flowers are growing?

  • profdc9@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    The only material changes I can see would be for Russia to move nuclear weapons into occupied Ukraine and/or resumes nuclear testing. Every other escalation does not result in a change their stance that can be perceived from outside Russia. Either of these events would cause an enormous elevation in the readiness and deployment of NATO forces and would risk uncontrolled escalation. How desperate is Putin now?

  • mindlight@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    Russia will make changes to its doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons in response to what it regards as Western escalation in the war in Ukraine, state media quoted Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying on Sunday.

    Oooh… Someone’s realized that a substantially smaller country with Jewish Nazis in the government is way more competent when it comes to specialized military operations?

    This is more a sign of desperation than a sign of either strategic military confidence or a booming economy.

    Moscow accuses the West of using Ukraine as a proxy to wage war against it, with the aim of inflicting a “strategic defeat” on Russia and breaking it apart.

    Dude, you’re making yourself more important than you actually are. No one cares about you.

    Edit: if you’re quoting something, it’s kind of expected that you copy the correct quite… duh…

    • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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      Dude, you’re making yourself more important than you actually are. No one cares about you.

      Seriously. The West keeps legit forgetting the whole thing is even going on, and then waking up and sending $50 billion and then getting distracted again.

      The bravery of the Ukrainians and the 20:1 outmatchedness of the Russians in total industrial/technological capacity are responsible for the failure of the invasion. Not any kind of urgent priority or strong level of care on the Western side in any location west of Poland.

    • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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      a substantially smaller country with Jewish Nazis in the government

      What the fuck are you talking about?

      • mindlight@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        How could you have missed that the only reason Russia started on their glorious 3 day special military operation was to liberate Ukraine from evil Nazi Jews ?

        • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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          Oh I see, I thought they were claiming the Nazis were in the military, not the government. I mean it was a bullshit pretext either way, but I misunderstood.

          • mindlight@lemm.ee
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            4 months ago

            Why choose when you can have both?

            Russia have claimed both that the regime and parts of the military were Nazis.

  • SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world
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    If their nuclear bombers went airborne the second Ukraine troops crossed their borders people would’ve taken them seriously. It would’ve shown how serious they were. But here we are, weeks after the invasion onto Russian soil, and their strong man argument is changing a few words on paper. It’s not very impressive or convincing.

  • portuga@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Why do these guys allways look like their family is being held hostage or something?

    • nova_ad_vitum@lemmy.ca
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      They’re not being actively held hostage in that there’s no giant prison with all their families in it.

      They are being held hostage because of the implication. The whereabouts of their family is well known so are they going to toe the line? Of course, because of the implication.